NFL Week 10 predictions game by game
The chance the model gives each team to win and the points it expects each to score, for all 14 games of Week 10.
These are probabilities from a model tested on past seasons, not certainties: a team given 70% loses three times in ten. So far this season the team given the better chance has won 88 of 135 games. How the model works and how it has done.
- Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Nov 13, 2026: the model gives the Giants a 56% chance, with an expected score of WSH 22, NYG 23.
- New England Patriots at Detroit Lions, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Lions a 55% chance, with an expected score of NE 25, DET 27.
- Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Chiefs a 65% chance, with an expected score of KC 24, ATL 20.
- Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Texans a 70% chance, with an expected score of HOU 23, CLE 17.
- Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Packers a 57% chance, with an expected score of MIN 19, GB 21.
- Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Colts a 65% chance, with an expected score of MIA 19, IND 24.
- Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Saints a 51% chance, with an expected score of CAR 24, NO 24.
- Buffalo Bills at New York Jets, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Bills a 82% chance, with an expected score of BUF 30, NYJ 19.
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Jaguars a 83% chance, with an expected score of JAX 28, TEN 16.
- Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Rams a 74% chance, with an expected score of LAR 27, ARI 19.
- Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the Seahawks a 71% chance, with an expected score of SEA 26, LV 20.
- San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys, Nov 15, 2026: the model gives the 49ers a 64% chance, with an expected score of SF 29, DAL 24.
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals, Nov 16, 2026: the model gives the Bengals a 55% chance, with an expected score of PIT 23, CIN 25.
- Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens, Nov 17, 2026: the model gives the Ravens a 65% chance, with an expected score of LAC 18, BAL 22.